{"id":8715,"date":"2017-01-03T00:01:36","date_gmt":"2017-01-03T08:01:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/?p=8715"},"modified":"2017-01-03T08:12:11","modified_gmt":"2017-01-03T16:12:11","slug":"2017-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/?p=8715","title":{"rendered":"2017 Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>At the new year dawns, it&#8217;s time for me to look forward. What wonders will the tech world bestow upon us mortals? What fantasies are to be realized? And will the warranties be worthy? It&#8217;s prediction time.<br \/>\n<!--more--><br \/>\nAcknowledging that I am terrible at making predictions, I&#8217;ll take another stab. My <a href=\"http:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/?p=8711\">predictions for 2016<\/a> were dismal. I actually think I cursed the Clinton campaign. Anyway:<\/p>\n<p><strong>Old School Revival<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Everything old is new again. Can it happen in the high tech industry? You bet!<\/p>\n<p>People are always in search of quality and sometimes shiny-new is awful. Witness the explosion of the vinyl record industry. It&#8217;s crazy! Even books are coming back, though not specifically what I write. Still, I wouldn&#8217;t be surprised to see a resurge in good ol&#8217; desktop computers and traditional laptops. Maybe even brick-and-mortar stores will see an upturn? It&#8217;s a long-shot, but these things move in cycles. The worst part about the digital life is that it lacks a soul; maybe the old stuff is worthy again?<\/p>\n<p><strong>Apple Continues Its Downward Spiral<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>I don&#8217;t expect anything exciting from Apple this year. Nothing. Nada. Zilch. Perhaps they&#8217;ll do a no-bezel display on the iPhone, but that&#8217;s just copying Samsung. The Macintosh product line will continue to stagnate. Tim Cook&#8217;s helmsmanship has been dreadful. He&#8217;s a likeable guy, but Apple is rotting.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Foldable Mobile Technology<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>I believe Samsung will be the first to debut folding LCD touchscreen technology. This won&#8217;t just be a curved screen, which they&#8217;ve already done (but not on a phone yet, and that&#8217;s coming too). No, Samsung will introduce a mobile device that folds closed and open with a seamless LCD touchscreen display. Look for a Galaxy Tab Folding Edition or something similar.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Annual Windows and Office Updates<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Microsoft will copy Apple with annual deliveries of Windows and Office updates. Unlike Apple, however, I predict that Microsoft updates be paid subscriptions. The nerds will howl, but they&#8217;ll pay. The rest of mankind just won&#8217;t update until it&#8217;s painfully necessary to do so. This change might also portend a new Office document format, which would prompt the masses to update, if not now then eventually.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Beginning of the End of Cable TV<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>With direct delivery of content, Netflix, Amazon, and Hulu are proving that the middleman, Cable TV, is just overhead you don&#8217;t need to pay. I see all the networks providing individual content apps, free of the requirement of a Cable TV subscription to use them. Even local TV will get in on the act &mdash; if they expect to survive.<\/p>\n<p>The downside of this prediction is that Cable TV operators, who also provide Internet service, may change from an unlimited data\/flat fee model to a per-gigabyte delivery charge. That fee would suck, especially because everyone is used to not paying per gigabyte for broadband Internet. If that change is suggested, I expect the Feds to come in and prevent it.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Out-there prediction: None<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;d love to pontificate on politics or the world situation, but enough people waste time on that topic. What I&#8217;d enjoy seeing would be some excitement in high tech. It&#8217;s just so boring! Where&#8217;s the &#8220;Next Big Thing&#8221;? All I see is more of the same, and I&#8217;m just tired of it. <em>Yawn<\/em>. Maybe something new will surprise me? I&#8217;ll let you know in a year.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>These should be easy, seeing how boring the tech industry has become.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8715","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-main"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8715","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8715"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8715\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8751,"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8715\/revisions\/8751"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8715"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8715"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8715"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}