This has been predicted before.
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\nPeople have been saying that the PC is dead ever since the Macintosh was introduced in 1984. Then again in 1987, when IBM introduced the PS\/2.<\/p>\n
When the Internet blossomed in the 1990s, people said that the PC would be dead.<\/p>\n
Now they’re saying it again. This time I believe that they’re correct, but I don’t view the situation as a “death” as more of a refinement.<\/p>\n
The Boss at the end of the PC death game is a cell phone, of course.<\/p>\n
No surprise: Cell phones are taking off, now that they do data in addition to making phone calls. Indeed, according to one of my son’s cell phone bills, he uses 120 minutes of talk-time a month but sends 2500 text messages and uses a hefty amount of Internet access.<\/p>\n
For most people, the cell phone is a better gizmo than the computer, giving them what they need: email, Internet, basic communications, games. Why get a full desktop computer for all that?<\/p>\n
Cell phones also feature the Golden Goose that Bill Gates could never catch: users paying a monthly fee.<\/p>\n
Gates always wanted us to pay more and more to use our computers. That’s why he began the endless (and pointless) software upgrade cycle. He even spoke of a software subscription model, which never could work. What Gates wanted was what the cell phone provides: a monthly fee.<\/p>\n
Even though cell phones will replace PCs for most people, I don’t see the PC disappearing. It’s growth will slow, but as a productivity gizmo, the PC is peerless. They’ll keep making them, people will keep buying them, and those of us who use them will keep making stuff. The cell phone users, they’ll use the stuff. It’s a good match.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
This has been predicted before.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2357","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-main"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2357","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2357"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2357\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2361,"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2357\/revisions\/2361"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2357"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2357"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2357"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}