{"id":181,"date":"2008-10-20T00:01:41","date_gmt":"2008-10-20T07:01:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/?p=181"},"modified":"2008-10-19T16:47:47","modified_gmt":"2008-10-19T23:47:47","slug":"taking-the-disk-out-of-drive","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/?p=181","title":{"rendered":"Taking The Disk Out Of Drive"},"content":{"rendered":"

Back in May<\/a> of this year, I wrote about the future of the spinning hard drive.<\/p>\n

Expect all new PCs to be solid state within 5 years; no more moving parts<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Boy was I wrong!
\n
\nIt looks like hard disks will lose their spin a whole heck of a lot earlier than I predicted. Starting next year<\/a>, disk drive giant Seagate will be making the switch to solid state drives (SSD). Slowly.<\/p>\n

I don’t even think it will take 5 years to make the full transition. I can see the future timeline looking like this:<\/p>\n

2009 – SSDs become an option for a select group of PCs.
\n2010 – SSDs and traditional hard drives are available as options on all PCs \/ Apple goes all SSD
\n2011 – Only low-end PCs offer spinning hard drives<\/p>\n

By 2012 I see spinning hard drives available pretty much like floppy disks are available today. They’re optional add-ons that a few people might have, but mostly the SSD will become the computer’s primary storage device. So the transition will be more like 3 years, not 5.<\/p>\n

On my original post in May, reader ‘sriksrid’ commented that optical drives also need to go. I agree, but believe that the transition will be slower. There needs to be some form of electronic media to take over the role of music\/video storage. Perhaps some new form of credit-card sized media card. (Today’s media cards are too tiny, being designed primarily for portable gizmos like cameras and cell phones.)<\/p>\n

I’ll ponder the future, non-spinning replacement for the CD\/DVD in a future blog post.<\/p>\n

This move to solid state media has been coming. That’s why starting this year I’ve no longer been writing in my books about the computer’s “disk drive system.” Instead, I write “storage system” or “storage media.” That’s actually a better phrase anyway, seeing how 20 years ago hard drives were rare and floppy drives were the rage. But 20 years from now, spinning disks will be as antique as gas-powered automobiles.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Back in May of this year, I wrote about the future of the spinning hard drive. Expect all new PCs to be solid state within 5 years; no more moving parts Boy was I wrong!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-181","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-main"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/181","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=181"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/181\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=181"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=181"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wambooli.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=181"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}